Does a metal roof pay over asphalt shingles?

Compare a standing seam metal roof with architectural shingles over the years you keep the house, and see what happens to the answer if you sell early.

Break-even if you sell the house
Year 43
Sell sooner and shingles cost less in today's money.
Example calculationNo payoff if you sell in 15 years

If you keep the house for the whole 50 years, metal comes out about $1,415 cheaper than shingles in today's money, close to even. If you sell after 15 years, metal costs about $14,771 more than shingles: a buyer repays only 50% of a metal roof's cost, and a 15-year-old metal roof still has most of its life left.

If you sell, metal first comes out ahead in year 43 and stays ahead from then on. If you keep the house, the extra cost of metal is paid back in year 25 in today's money.

Shingles, 50 years
$51,462
2 roofs bought, in today's money
Metal, 50 years
$50,047
1 roof bought, less $1,853 saved on cooling and insurance
Metal advantage, keep the house
+$1,415
Over 50 years. Plus means metal costs less.
Metal advantage, sell after 15 years
-$14,771
A buyer repays 50% of metal and 68% of shingles.
Extra cost paid back, keep it
Year 25
In today's money, if you keep the house.
Shingles, cost per year
$1,607
Owning one roof for a year, at today's prices.
Metal, cost per year
$1,623
$1,563 after the $60 yearly saving.
Yearly saving from metal
$60
Cooling and insurance, year 1.

Monthly cash flow

The recurring part only: cooling and insurance savings from metal, month by month. The one-time roof purchases are in the year-by-year table below.

Monthly and yearly saving from metal, first year and last year
YearSaved each monthSaved in the year
Year 1$5.00$60
Year 50$21.28$255

If roof prices stay flat

If roof prices stay flat, metal does not pay in 50 years.

The same answer with your price growth and with price growth set to 0%
ResultYour price growthFlat prices
Metal advantage, keep the house+$1,415-$9,614
Metal advantage, sell after 15 years-$14,771-$14,900
Break-even if you sellYear 43Not within 50 years
Extra cost paid back, keep itYear 25Not within 50 years

What if you move sooner or later?

The metal advantage in today's money if you sell after each number of years. Plus means metal costs less.

Metal advantage if you sell after 5, 10, 15, 20 and 30 years and at the end of the comparison
When you sellMetal advantageIn words
After 5 years-$15,080Metal costs more
After 10 years-$14,795Metal costs more
After 15 years-$14,771Metal costs more
After 20 years-$14,904Metal costs more
After 30 years-$5,102Metal costs more
After 50 years (end of comparison)+$1,415Metal costs less

Extra cash for metal, year by year

Both lines are about metal, so both are orange. The solid line is the running total of extra cash for metal in plain dollars, starting below zero because metal costs more up front. It jumps up the year a shingle roof would be replaced. The dashed line is the metal advantage in today's money if you sell that year.

Year-by-year table
Roof purchases, yearly saving, extra cash for metal to date and the metal advantage if you sell, by year. In the last year the extra cash also counts the unused share of each last roof.
YearShingle roof boughtMetal roof boughtCooling and insurance savedMetal extra cash to dateMetal advantage if you sell
Today$31,800$51,900--$20,100-
Year 1--$60-$20,040-$15,593
Year 2--$62-$19,978-$15,435
Year 3--$64-$19,915-$15,298
Year 4--$66-$19,849-$15,180
Year 5--$68-$19,781-$15,080
Year 6--$70-$19,712-$14,996
Year 7--$72-$19,640-$14,927
Year 8--$74-$19,566-$14,871
Year 9--$76-$19,490-$14,828
Year 10--$78-$19,412-$14,795
Year 11--$81-$19,332-$14,774
Year 12--$83-$19,248-$14,761
Year 13--$86-$19,163-$14,757
Year 14--$88-$19,075-$14,761
Year 15--$91-$18,984-$14,771
Year 16--$93-$18,891-$14,788
Year 17--$96-$18,794-$14,810
Year 18--$99-$18,695-$14,837
Year 19--$102-$18,593-$14,869
Year 20--$105-$18,488-$14,904
Year 21--$108-$18,379-$14,943
Year 22--$112-$18,268-$14,984
Year 23--$115-$18,153-$15,029
Year 24--$118-$18,034-$15,075
Year 25$66,582-$122+$48,670-$15,123
Year 26--$126+$48,795-$7,979
Year 27--$129+$48,925-$7,183
Year 28--$133+$49,058-$6,440
Year 29--$137+$49,195-$5,747
Year 30--$141+$49,337-$5,102
Year 31--$146+$49,482-$4,500
Year 32--$150+$49,632-$3,940
Year 33--$155+$49,787-$3,419
Year 34--$159+$49,946-$2,933
Year 35--$164+$50,110-$2,482
Year 36--$169+$50,279-$2,062
Year 37--$174+$50,453-$1,673
Year 38--$179+$50,632-$1,311
Year 39--$184+$50,816-$975
Year 40--$190+$51,006-$663
Year 41--$196+$51,202-$375
Year 42--$202+$51,404-$107
Year 43--$208+$51,611+$140
Year 44--$214+$51,825+$369
Year 45--$220+$52,045+$580
Year 46--$227+$52,272+$775
Year 47--$234+$52,506+$956
Year 48--$241+$52,747+$1,122
Year 49--$248+$52,995+$1,274
Year 50--$255+$53,250+$1,415

What changes the answer most

At these inputs, metal roof life and shingle roof life move the answer most.

The two inputs that move the answer most, each moved 20% down and up
InputSettingMetal advantage, keep the houseMetal advantage, sell
Metal roof life, 20% lower40 years-$11,561-$15,707
Metal roof life, 20% higher60 years+$2,169-$14,147
Shingle roof life, 20% lower20 years+$13,611-$13,211
Shingle roof life, 20% higher30 years-$2,631-$15,811

What this does not count

The comparison counts roof cost, cooling savings and any insurance discount. It leaves out noise, looks, a lifetime warranty, leaks, hail denting, and any extra a buyer pays for metal beyond the share you entered. Hail and wind resistance are not priced. Ask the installer and your insurer for the roof's impact rating and for any discount in writing.

How this estimates

Time zero is today and both options buy a roof now. A roof costs the number of squares times the price per square plus any tear-off. It is bought again each time it wears out, every 25 years for shingles and every 50 for metal at the default lives. A later purchase is the price today grown by the yearly price growth, then discounted back to today's money by the discount rate for each year it waits.

When you stop owning the house, the unused part of the last roof counts as a credit. If you keep the house to the end of the years compared, the credit is the unused years at the price paid. If you sell, a buyer repays only the share you entered of that value, and the share shrinks in a straight line as the roof ages. That straight-line aging is this page's own assumption: Cost vs. Value reports recovery for a brand new roof only. A roof that would be replaced in the very year you sell is left for the buyer and gets no credit.

Metal also saves your cooling bill times the saving percent, plus any insurance discount, every year. That saving grows with price growth and is discounted too. The metal advantage is the net cost of shingles minus the net cost of metal, so a plus sign means metal costs less.

The break-even sale year is the first year of ownership in which selling leaves metal ahead. The advantage can jump up in a year a shingle roof is replaced, so it can dip and recover. That is why the page also shows the year metal stays ahead from. The extra cost of metal is paid back when its savings plus the shingle roofs it avoids add up, in today's money, to the extra up front cost.

The cost per year spreads each roof price over its life like a loan payment, using a real rate of (1 + discount rate) divided by (1 + price growth), minus 1. If price growth is higher than the discount rate that rate is set to 0%. The flat price test reruns everything with price growth set to 0%. The discount rate stays as you entered it. Every figure rounds to whole dollars, and lives and years round to whole years.

Sources and date checked

Starting numbers were checked on 2026-10-17. The prices and the share a buyer repays come from the Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value report, 2025 edition. The report page would not open from our build computer, so those figures were read from a published summary of it. Confirm them against the report. Roof lives come from roofing trade figures. The cooling saving comes from one Florida study of white roofs that we read only in search excerpts, so the default is set well below it. No insurance discount has a neutral source, so it starts at $0. Growth, discount rate and years you stay are round typical values, not researched facts. The table below lists every source and link.

Not advice. This is a planning estimate at the inputs shown, not roofing, tax, insurance or financial advice. Get written quotes for both roofs and a written insurance quote before you decide. Your results will differ.

Benchmark sources and dates

Starting assumptions are example benchmarks, not binding quotes. Change any input to match your own bills or offers.

Assumption / InputStarting valueSourceChecked
Roof size30 squares (3,000 sq ft of roof surface; second-hand, confirm)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Shingle price per square, installed$1,060 (report job cost $31,871 / 30 = $1,062.37, rounded; second-hand, confirm)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Metal price per square, installed$1,730 (report job cost $51,865 / 30 = $1,728.83, rounded; second-hand, confirm; the report does not say it is standing seam)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 2025. Context only, not the origin of the number: HomeAdvisor metal roof cost guide2026-10-17
Tear-off and disposal, extra$0 per square (the report job cost includes tear-off; second-hand, confirm)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Share of a new shingle roof a buyer repays68% (report: $21,501 resale value on $31,871 cost, which is 67.5% by our division; second-hand, confirm)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Share of a new metal roof a buyer repays50% (report: $25,972 resale value on $51,865 cost; second-hand, confirm)Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Shingle roof life25 years (typical, edit this)National Roofing Contractors Association figures in a USDA Forest Service slide2026-10-17
Metal roof life50 years (typical, edit this)National Roofing Contractors Association figures in a USDA Forest Service slide and HomeAdvisor metal roof cost guide2026-10-17
Years compared if you keep the house50 years (typical, edit this)Our own round choice. Context only, not the origin of the number: National Roofing Contractors Association figures in a USDA Forest Service slide2026-10-17
Years you plan to stay15 years (typical, edit this)Our own round choice, no source. Context only, not the origin of the number: Zonda and JLC Cost vs. Value 20252026-10-17
Yearly growth in roof prices and in the value of savings3% (typical, edit this)Our own round choice. Context only, not the origin of the number: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index2026-10-17
Discount rate5% a year (typical, edit this)Our own round choice. Context only, not the origin of the number: U.S. Treasury interest rate data2026-10-17
Yearly cooling bill and cooling saving from a light metal roof$600 a year and 10% (typical, edit this; the study figures are second-hand, confirm), so $60 a yearContext only, not the origin of the number: Florida Solar Energy Center report FSEC-CR-1220-002026-10-17
Insurance discount for a metal roof$0 a year (no source supports a discount; enter only one your insurer quoted)Context only, not the origin of the number: Louisiana Department of Insurance report on the FORTIFIED roof discount2026-10-17