Heat pump vs furnace
See if a heat pump pays off against your oil, propane or gas heat. Enter your fuel use and prices and get the payback in years. Free, runs in your browser.
A stove usually heats part of a house, so you say how much of your oil it would replace. See how many years until it pays for itself, and how much the answer depends on the price of oil.
At these inputs, the stove pays for itself in about 4.0 years. In year 1 it cuts your oil bill by about $2,534 and costs about $1,822 to run, so you keep about $712. Over 15 years you come out about $10,250 ahead.
The answer depends on the oil price. You entered $6.335 a gallon. New York heating oil was $6.335 a gallon for the week ending 2026-10-12 and $3.837 a year earlier (EIA, before taxes). At these inputs the stove breaks even over 15 years at an oil price of about $4.96 a gallon today. Above that it comes out ahead, below it behind.
Year 1. Before is oil only. After is the oil you still buy plus everything the stove costs to run.
| Cost | Oil only | With the stove | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil | $5,068 | $2,534 | $2,534 less |
| Pellets | $0 | $1,513 | $1,513 more |
| Electricity for the stove | $0 | $109 | $109 more |
| Upkeep | $0 | $200 | $200 more |
| Total, year 1 | $5,068 | $4,356 | $712 less |
What you keep after the stove's running costs, split into 12 equal months. In practice most of it falls between October and April, when the stove runs.
| Year | Each month | In the year |
|---|---|---|
| Year 1 | $59.37 | $712 |
| Year 15 | $89.80 | $1,078 |
If prices stay flat, the stove pays for itself in about 4.2 years, and over 15 years you come out about $7,686 ahead.
| Result | Your price growth | Flat prices |
|---|---|---|
| Payback | 4.0 years | 4.2 years |
| Net over 15 years | $10,250 | $7,686 |
| You keep in year 15 | $1,078 | $712 |
The same stove at three oil prices: New York a year ago, New York for the week ending 2026-10-12 (EIA), and your own if it is different. Everything else stays as you entered it.
| Oil price | Price a gallon | Payback | Net over 15 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last year's New York price | $3.837 a gallon | Never | -$8,334 |
| New York price, week ending 2026-10-12 (your price) | $6.335 a gallon | 4.0 years | $10,250 |
The orange line uses the price growth you entered. The dashed line uses flat prices. Both start below zero at what you pay up front, and the payback is where a line crosses zero.
| Year | Oil saved | Stove costs | Net for the year | Cash to date | Cash to date, flat prices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Start | - | - | - | -$3,000 | -$3,000 |
| Year 1 | $2,534 | $1,822 | $712 | -$2,288 | -$2,288 |
| Year 2 | $2,610 | $1,876 | $734 | -$1,554 | -$1,575 |
| Year 3 | $2,688 | $1,933 | $756 | -$798 | -$863 |
| Year 4 | $2,769 | $1,990 | $778 | -$19 | -$150 |
| Year 5 | $2,852 | $2,050 | $802 | $782 | $562 |
| Year 6 | $2,938 | $2,112 | $826 | $1,608 | $1,275 |
| Year 7 | $3,026 | $2,175 | $851 | $2,459 | $1,987 |
| Year 8 | $3,117 | $2,240 | $876 | $3,335 | $2,699 |
| Year 9 | $3,210 | $2,308 | $902 | $4,238 | $3,412 |
| Year 10 | $3,306 | $2,377 | $930 | $5,167 | $4,124 |
| Year 11 | $3,405 | $2,448 | $957 | $6,125 | $4,837 |
| Year 12 | $3,508 | $2,521 | $986 | $7,111 | $5,549 |
| Year 13 | $3,613 | $2,597 | $1,016 | $8,126 | $6,261 |
| Year 14 | $3,721 | $2,675 | $1,046 | $9,173 | $6,974 |
| Year 15 | $3,833 | $2,755 | $1,078 | $10,250 | $7,686 |
Below the break-even share, the yearly costs that do not shrink (electricity, upkeep) and the money paid up front eat the savings.
| Break-even | You entered | Break-even value |
|---|---|---|
| Oil price where the stove saves money in year 1 | $6.335 a gallon | $4.55 a gallon |
| Oil price where it pays for itself by year 15 | $6.335 a gallon | $4.96 a gallon |
| Share of your oil the stove must replace to pay for itself by year 15 | 50% | 23.0% |
At these inputs, the oil price and the stove efficiency move the answer most.
| Input | Setting | Payback | Net over 15 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil price, 25% lower | $4.751 a gallon | Not within 15 years | -$1,532 |
| Oil price, 25% higher | $7.919 a gallon | 2.2 years | $22,033 |
| Stove efficiency, 25% lower | 52.5% | 12.2 years | $871 |
| Stove efficiency, 25% higher | 87.5% | 2.9 years | $15,878 |
Comfort, resale value, storing the fuel, and the chance of a chimney repair are left out. So is a heating system that has to be replaced anyway. Your time counts only if you enter a value for an hour. Power failures have no dollar value here: a cordwood stove burns without power, while a pellet stove and an oil burner both stop.
This page does not cover safety, clearances or permits. See EPA's page on wood-burning installation and maintenance. Your local code office decides what permits you need. Tell your home insurer before you install, and ask whether they want a professional installation or an inspection. No insurance cost is counted.
The oil system now delivers your gallons times 138,500 Btu a gallon (a Btu is a unit of heat) times its efficiency. The stove supplies the share you enter, and burns that much heat divided by the stove efficiency in fuel. Tons or cords bought are that fuel divided by its heat content. The oil you stop buying is that share of your gallons times the oil price. The oil system's own efficiency is assumed not to change.
The running cost is the stove fuel, electricity (kWh a day times days run times price), upkeep, and your time (hours a week times days run divided by 7, times the value of an hour). Year 1 net is the oil saved minus the running cost. The money up front is the installed cost minus any rebate or credit, never below zero.
Each later year, the oil saving grows at the oil rate, the fuel at its own rate, and electricity, upkeep and time at the third rate. Payback is where the running total crosses what you paid up front (the shared payback engine, with no discounting and no loan). The net over the years is that total in the last year, with no sale value. The flat-price test sets all three growth rates to 0%. The break-even oil price and share are the values at which that total is exactly 0. The two inputs that move the answer most are found by moving each 25% down and up. Dollars round to whole dollars.
Starting numbers were checked on 2026-10-17. The oil price is the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) New York price for the week ending 2026-10-12, before taxes. Last year's $3.837 is that price less the $2.498 rise EIA reports, so it is worked out, not read.
No official New York pellet or cordwood price could be read, because the pages of NYSERDA, New York's state energy agency, did not open from our build computer. Those two prices, the stove cost, upkeep, electricity use, hours of work, years of life and price growth are round typical values, not researched facts. The federal credit for biomass stoves ended after 2025-12-31 (IRS, checked 2026-10-17). The last New York stove incentive we found was $1,500 in 2020 (unverified, from a search excerpt), and other sources list it as no longer active, so confirm any rebate with NYSERDA. No sales tax is added to fuel: New York exempts wood fuel used for home heating, according to a source we did not check against the state. Prices vary by dealer and county, so check your own. The table below lists every source and how each figure was checked.
Not advice. This is a planning estimate at the inputs shown, not heating, safety, tax, insurance or financial advice. Get written quotes for the stove and its installation, and confirm any rebate or credit before you count it. Your results will differ.
Starting assumptions are example benchmarks, not binding quotes. Change any input to match your own bills or offers.
| Assumption / Input | Starting value | Source | Checked |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heating oil price, New York | $6.335 a gallon, week ending 2026-10-12, before taxes (read directly) | EIA weekly New York heating oil | 2026-10-17 |
| Oil price a year earlier, New York | $3.837 a gallon (derived: $6.335 less EIA's $2.498 yearly rise) | EIA Heating Oil and Propane Update | 2026-10-17 |
| Heating oil energy content | 138,500 Btu a gallon (read directly) | EIA Energy Units and Conversions | 2026-10-17 |
| Oil furnace or boiler efficiency | 83%, federal minimum for a new oil furnace (confirm) | 10 CFR 430.32(e), eCFR | 2026-10-17 |
| Oil used for heat and the share replaced | 800 gallons a year and 50% (typical, edit this); Northeast average 460 gallons | EIA RECS 2020, Table CE4.7, Alliance for Green Heat | 2026-10-17 |
| New York residential electricity | $0.29 a kWh (29.38 cents, January to July 2026) | EIA Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6 | 2026-10-17 |
| Pellet price | $380 a ton (typical, edit this; no New York price could be read) | Heller's and Northeast Pellets price lists; NYSERDA survey not opened | 2026-10-17 |
| Cordwood price | $350 a full seasoned cord (typical, edit this) | Fixr, wood stove cost | 2026-10-17 |
| Pellet heat content | 16.5 million Btu a ton, 8,250 Btu a pound (second-hand) | Maryland Extension FS-937, quoting the Pellet Fuels Institute | 2026-10-17 |
| Cordwood heat content | 22 million Btu a cord, mixed hardwood (typical, edit this) | Cornell Cooperative Extension, 2014 | 2026-10-17 |
| Stove efficiency | 70% for pellets, 65% for wood (typical, edit this; low end of tests) | Alliance for Green Heat, wood stoves, EPA Burn Wise | 2026-10-17 |
| Stove installed cost and yearly upkeep | $3,000 pellet, $4,000 wood with chimney, $200 a year (typical, edit this) | Fixr | 2026-10-17 |
| Stove electricity | 2.5 kWh a day (typical, edit this); cordwood 0 | PICKHVAC, 2025-06-03 | 2026-10-17 |
| Federal credit for biomass stoves | $0 (ended after 2025-12-31; confirm) | IRS, home improvement credit | 2026-10-17 |
| New York stove incentive | $0 (confirm; last known $1,500 in 2020, unverified, from search snippet) | Alliance for Green Heat, New York, second-hand; NYSERDA Renewable Heat NY, EmPower+ not opened | 2026-10-17 |